Opinion polling for the 2019 Guatemalan general election This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2019 Guatemalan general election, which was held in on 16 June 2019. Because no candidate won a majority, a run-off occurred on 11 August 2019.[1] Second round This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. Polling Firm Date Sample size Giammattei Vamos Torres UNE None Lead Second round 11 August — 57.95 42.05 — 15.90 Average[2] 10 July–10 August 6,021 53.23 46.76 (N/A) 6.47 CID-Gallup[3] 29 July–5 August 1.216 54.9 45.1 -- -- Prodatos[4] 27 July–3 August 1.201 50.3 32.1 17.6 18.2 OPol Consultores[5] 24–26 July 2.400 44.7 49.1 6.1 4.4 CID-Gallup[6] 9–14 July 1.204 40.6 33.4 25.9 7.2 First round 16 June — 12.1 22.1 — 10.0 CID-Gallup[7] 1–7 June 1.204 11.6 22.6 22.9 1.0 Prodatos[8] 27 May–5 June 1.004 54.0 32.0 14.0 22.0 Alternative scenarios Polling firm Date Sample size Arzú PAN–Podemos Mulet Humanist Torres UNE None Lead First round 16 June — — 11.2 25.5 — 14.3 First round 16 June — 6.1 — 25.5 — 19.4 Prodatos[8] 13 June 1,004 — 42.0 36.0 22.0 6.0 Prodatos[8] 13 June 1,004 46.0 — 33.0 21.0 13.0 CID-Gallup[7] 1–7 June 1,204 36.0 — 33.0 31.0 3.0 First round After resolutions This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. Polling firm Date Sample size Torres UNE Giammattei Vamos Arzú PAN–P Mulet PHG T. Cabrera MLP Farchi VIVA F. Cabrera Todos Estrada CREO Others None Lead Presidential election 16 June — 25.54 13.95 6.08 11.21 10.37 5.90 3.13 3.75 Prodatos[8] 13 June 1,004 20.2 14.4 8.0 8.5 7.6 3.2 3.0 2.8 16.6 15.7 5.8 CID-Gallup[7] 30 May–7 June 1,204 22.6 11.6 9.2 6.4 5.5 2.8 2.8 1.3 15.1 22.7 11.0 CID-Gallup[9] 21 May-25 May 1,202 21.0 12.0 9.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 28.0 9.0 OPol Consultores[10] 20 May-23 May 2,200 23.36 10.77 13.18 8.63 3.22 1.72 0.63 1.22 11.99 25.28 10.18 Before resolutions This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Semilla Arzú PAN–P Escobar PC Giammattei Vamos Torres UNE Ríos Valor N/A Others Lead CID-Gallup[11] 15 May 1,747 8.0 8.0 2.0 9.0 21.0 14.0 24.0 22.0 7.0 On May 15, 2019, Thelma Aldana is out of the elections. On May 13, 2019, Zury Rios is out of the elections. TResearch 15 April 1,000 23.7 — — 10.8 17.1 15.7 — 32.7 6.6 TResearch 14 April 1,000 24.1 — — 11.0 16.5 16.0 — 32.4 7.6 TResearch 13 April 1,000 24.4 — — 11.5 16.3 15.7 — 32.1 8.1 TResearch 12 April 1,000 24.1 — — 11.5 14.8 16.2 — 33.4 7.9 TResearch 11 April 1,000 24.5 — — 10.8 14.8 16.1 — 33.8 8.4 TResearch 10 April 1,000 24.6 — — 11.7 14.1 15.8 — 33.8 8.8 TResearch 9 April 1,000 24.9 — — 11.8 14.2 15.7 — 33.4 9.2 TResearch 8 April 1,000 25.2 — — 12.1 14.8 15.6 — 32.3 9.6 TResearch 7 April 1,000 25.1 — — 11.7 14.4 15.4 — 33.4 9.7 TResearch 6 April 1,000 25.3 — — 11.8 14.3 14.7 — 33.9 10.6 TResearch 5 April 1,000 25.0 — — 11.6 14.7 14.3 — 34.6 10.3 TResearch 4 April 1,000 25.1 — — 11.6 15.3 13.8 — 34.2 9.6 TResearch 3 April 1,000 24.6 — — 12.0 14.5 13.5 — 35.4 10.1 TResearch 2 April 1,000 24.2 — — 12.2 15.0 13.4 — 35.2 9.2 TResearch 1 April 1,000 23.8 — — 12.5 15.5 13.3 — 34.9 8.3 Prodatos[12] 19–27 March 1,200 9.5 3.8 1.1 7.4 20.7 15.9 26.1 24 4.8 March 18, 2019, the electoral campaign begins. CID-Gallup[13] 16–25 February 1,258 10.7 2.8 3.1 5.8 17.7 7.9 40.9 11.1 7 Consulta Mitofsky[14] 8–11 February 1,000 28.1 — — 14.4 6.1 17.6 8.5 21.2 10.5 CID-Gallup[15] 24 January–4 February 1,815 10 2 3 5 17 7 46 10 7 Favorable or unfavorable opinions Favorable opinions Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Semilla Arzú PAN–P Escobar PC Estrada UCN Galdámez FCN Giammattei Vamos Montenegro EG Torres UNE Ríos Valor Consulta Mitofsky[14] 8–11 February 1,000 36 8 — 11 2 22 12 9 31 Unfavorable opinions Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Semilla Arzú PAN–P Escobar PC Estrada UCN Galdámez FCN Giammattei Vamos Montenegro EG Mulet PHG Torres UNE Ríos Valor Consulta Mitofsky[14] 8–11 February 1,000 27 56 — 30 62 25 32 — 66 28 Most favorite for president Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Semilla Arzú PAN–P Escobar PC Galdámez FCN Giammattei Vamos Montenegro EG Mulet PHG Torres UNE Ríos Valor Consulta Mitofsky[14] 8–11 February 1,000 35 — — — — — — 9 — Least favorite for president This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Semilla Arzú PAN–P Escobar PC Galdámez FCN Giammattei Vamos Torres UNE Ríos Valor CID-Gallup[7] 1–7 June 1,204 — 3.3 — 1.8 2.2 34.1 — CID-Gallup[11] 8–13 May 1,747 10 2 — — — 28 3 CID-Gallup[13] 16–25 February 1,258 6.2 3.5 — 3.2 3.4 21.2 6.5 Consulta Mitofsky[14] 8–11 February 1,000 12.6 — — — 2.0 40 4.4 References ^ Fernanda Nunes (6 June 2019). "Explainer: Guatemala's Presidential Election". AS/COA. Retrieved 17 May 2022. ^ GEUN, GEUN (11 August 2019). "Final Polling Average". youtube.com. ^ Gramajo, Jessica (7 August 2019). "Esto revela la encuesta electoral entre Torres y Giammattei". soy502.com (in Spanish). ^ "Encuesta Libre: Intención de voto segunda vuelta elecciones Guatemala". Prensa Libre (in Spanish). 8 August 2019. ^ Marín, Claudia (6 August 2019). "Sandra Torres encabeza segunda ronda en elecciones de Guatemala". elmundo.cr (in Spanish).[permanent dead link] ^ Gramajo, Jessica (17 July 2019). "Encuesta revela quién va a la cabeza en la Segunda Vuelta". soy502.com (in Spanish). ^ a b c d Segunda Encuesta Electoral (junio de 2019) ^ a b c d Segunda Encuesta Libre (junio de 2019) ^ "Opinión Pública Guatemala" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 May 2019. ^ Torres, Arzú, Giammattei y Mulet lideran intención de votos, según estudio. ^ a b Estos son los resultados de la reciente encuesta de Cid Gallup ^ Cuatro candidatos acaparan mayor intención de voto ^ a b Nueva encuesta electoral de Cid-Gallup hasta finales de febrero ^ a b c d e "ASÍ VAN... ESTUDIO ELECTORAL GUATEMALA (FEB/2019)". Consulta Mitofsky (in Spanish). 13 February 2019. Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 14 February 2019. ^ "Carrera por la presidencia de Guatemala inicia". CID-Gallup (in Spanish). 13 February 2019. Archived from the original on 15 February 2019. Retrieved 14 February 2019.

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