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2018 Florida gubernatorial election

2018 Florida gubernatorial election

← 2014 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2022 →
Turnout62.6%Increase12.1[1][2]
 
Nominee Ron DeSantis Andrew Gillum
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeanette Nuñez Chris King
Popular vote 4,076,186 4,043,723
Percentage 49.59% 49.19%

DeSantis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gillum:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data

Governor before election

Rick Scott
Republican

Elected Governor

Ron DeSantis
Republican

The 2018 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent two-term Republican Governor Rick Scott was term-limited and could not run for a third term, and he successfully ran for Florida's Class I Senate seat.

Republican U.S. representative Ron DeSantis narrowly defeated Democratic mayor of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum for the governorship, in what some considered an upset. The candidate filing deadline was June 22, 2018, and primary elections were held on August 28. Florida uses a closed primary process, in which the selection of each party's candidates for a general election is limited to registered members of that party;[3] Gillum won the Democratic primary and DeSantis the Republican primary.[4]

The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. After the recount was complete, DeSantis was certified as the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17. DeSantis's victory marked the sixth straight election in which Florida elected a Republican to the governorship, and the third in a row that neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. With a margin of 0.4%, this election was the closest race of the 2018 gubernatorial election cycle. Gillum became the first Democrat to win Duval County since 1986 and Seminole County since 1990, while DeSantis became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win Jefferson County since 1884.

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
U.S. executive branch officials
Adam Putnam
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Sheriffs
Organizations
Newspapers
Jack Latvala (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Bob White
U.S. representatives

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran
Ron
DeSantis
Jack
Latvala
Adam
Putnam
Bob
White
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing[54] August 21–25, 2018 579 ± 4.1% 39% 27% 6% 4%[a] 23%
St. Pete Polls[55] August 22–23, 2018 2,141 ± 2.1% 56% 33% 3% 8%
Gravis Marketing[56] August 21–22, 2018 321 ± 5.5% 39% 24% 6% 4%[a] 26%
Florida Atlantic University[57] August 16–20, 2018 222 ± 6.5% 32% 31% 2% 13%[b] 22%
Saint Leo University[58] August 10–16, 2018 172 41% 52% 5%
SurveyUSA[59] August 10–13, 2018 558 ± 5.2% 40% 38% 2% 5%[c] 16%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis)[60] August 5–7, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 50% 30%
Mason-Dixon[61] July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 41% 29% 0% 2%[d] 28%
Florida Atlantic University[62] July 20–21, 2018 262 ± 6.0% 36% 27% 3% 12%[e] 23%
Clearview Research[63] July 14–19, 2018 700 ± 4.0% 38% 39% 23%
St. Pete Polls[64] July 16–17, 2018 1,709 ± 2.4% 50% 30% 4% 17%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 905 ± 3.3% 35% 29% 4%[f] 25%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)[66] July 8–12, 2018 349 ± 5.2% 42% 30% 27%
Remington (R-Tenth Amendment Project)[67] July 2–5, 2018 2,826 ± 1.8% 43% 26% 25%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[68] July 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 47% 28%
Marist College[69] June 17–21, 2018 326 ± 6.7% 21% 38% 3% 39%
Fox News[70] June 15–19, 2018 901 ± 3.0% 17% 32% 3% 5%[g]
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 543 ± 4.2% 4% 19% 29% 5% 43%
Cherry Communications[72] June 7–9, 2018 501 ± 5.3% 15% 32% 5% 48%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 175 13% 35% 9% 44%
Florida Atlantic University[74] May 4–7, 2018 371 ± 5.0% 16% 15% 3% 24%[h] 43%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis)[75] April 19–23, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 7% 30% 23% 40%
30% 26% 44%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 3% 19% 0% 17% 0% 60%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis)[77] March 12–15, 2018 600 <6% 21% 19%
28% 23%
Saint Leo University[78] February 18–24, 2018 175 7% 14% 3% 15% 5% 9%[i] 46%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 3% 16% 0% 18% 2% 61%
Mason-Dixon[80] January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 7% 23% 27% 43%
Remington[81] December 30–31, 2017 1,423 ± 2.6% 3% 28% 25% 44%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 2% 12% 2% 23% 1% 60%
Saint Leo University[83] November 19–24, 2017 166 5% 15% 4% 10%[j] 63%
Cherry Communications[84] September 17–24, 2017 256 1% 9% 26% 3% 59%
Saint Leo University[85] September 10–16, 2017 173 4% 7% 20% 2% 11%[k] 44%
Florida Atlantic University[86] August 24–26, 2017 304 ± 6.5% 10% 9% 27% 53%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jeff
Atwater
Rick
Baker
Pam
Bondi
Richard
Corcoran
Mike
Huckabee
Usha
Jain
David
Jolly
Jack
Latvala
Adam
Putnam
Will
Weatherford
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 2% 5% 5% 4% 21% 63%
Saint Leo University[88] March 3–11, 2017 175 6% 5% 30% 2% 3% 13% 8% 34%
Associated Industries of Florida[89] February 14–17, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 4% 22% 71%
Cherry Communications[90] December 3–8, 2016 22% 64%
Saint Leo University[91] November 27–30, 2016 5% 1% 2% 32% 6% 1% 7% 47%
StPetePolls.org[92] August 2, 2016 1,835 ± 2.3% 7% 3% 26% 1% 37% 8% 1% 7% 12%

Results

Results by county:
  DeSantis
  •   DeSantis—40–50%
  •   DeSantis—50–60%
  •   DeSantis—60–70%
  •   DeSantis—70–80%
  Putnam
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[93]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis 916,298 56.5%
Republican Adam Putnam 592,518 36.5%
Republican Bob White 32,710 2.0%
Republican Timothy M. Devine 21,380 1.3%
Republican Bob Langford 19,842 1.2%
Republican Bruce Nathan 14,556 0.9%
Republican Don Baldauf 13,173 0.8%
Republican John Joseph Mercadante 11,647 0.7%
Total votes 1,622,124 100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Gwen Graham
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Individuals
Organizations
Newspaper editorial boards
Jeff Greene
Newspapers
Chris King
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Organizations
Philip Levine
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Individuals
Newspaper editorial boards

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Andrew
Gillum
Gwen
Graham
Jeff
Greene
Chris
King
Philip
Levine
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls[188] August 25–26, 2018 2,342 ± 2.0% 25% 32% 11% 2% 22% 4% 5%
Gravis Marketing[54] August 21–25, 2018 531 ± 4.3% 16% 26% 19% 5% 18% 17%
Gravis Marketing[56] August 21–22, 2018 308 ± 5.6% 15% 26% 19% 5% 18% 17%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[189] August 19–21, 2018 669 ± 3.8% 18% 25% 13% 2% 26% 15%
Florida Atlantic University[57] August 16–20, 2018 280 ± 6.3% 11% 29% 11% 10% 17% 3% 19%
Change Research (D-Gillum)[190] August 18–19, 2018 1,178 33% 22% 10% 22%
St. Pete Polls[191] August 18–19, 2018 2,202 ± 2.1% 21% 27% 15% 3% 25% 4% 6%
Saint Leo University[58] August 10–16, 2018 188 15% 31% 17% 5% 22% 4%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[192] August 11–14, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 15% 24% 13% 3% 27% 18%
SurveyUSA[193] August 10–13, 2018 631 ± 5.2% 11% 22% 16% 3% 22% 2%[l] 24%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine)[194] August 5–6, 2018 572 13% 26% 16% 4% 22% 19%
ALG Research (D-Graham)[195] July 29 – August 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 10% 33% 13% 3% 17% 23%
St. Pete Polls[196] July 30–31, 2018 1,652 ± 2.4% 12% 29% 23% 3% 19% 4% 9%
Mason-Dixon[61] July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 27% 12% 7% 18% 1%[m] 25%
Florida Atlantic University[62] July 20–21, 2018 271 ± 5.9% 7% 20% 14% 9% 16% 3% 31%
Associated Industries of Florida[197] July 16–18, 2018 800 12% 24% 13% 4% 16%
Frederick Polls[198] July 2018 506 15% 28% 23% 7% 27%
St. Pete Polls[199] July 14–15, 2018 1,314 ± 2.7% 10% 22% 22% 3% 19% 1%[n] 25%
Gravis Marketing[65] July 13–14, 2018 1,540 ± 2.5% 10% 27% 18% 17% 27%
Marist College[69] June 17–21, 2018 344 ± 6.5% 8% 17% 4% 3% 19% 1% 47%
RABA Research[200] June 15–16, 2018 660 ± 3.8% 8% 26% 3% 15% 27% 21%
Gravis Marketing[71] May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 24% 3% 17% 27%
Let's Preserve the American Dream[201] June 6–9, 2018 800 ± 3.1% 11% 21% 3% 4% 24% 37%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)[202] June 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 11% 16% 4% 6% 32% 31%
Saint Leo University[73] May 25–31, 2018 195 10% 14% 6% 14% 9% 47%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine)[203] May 21–22, 2018 583 12% 20% 6% 30% 33%
Change Research (D-Gillum)[204] May 8–11, 2018 1,107 ± 3.0% 13% 13% 3% 20% 52%
Florida Atlantic University[74] May 4–7, 2018 372 ± 3.0% 6% 15% 10% 16% 11%[o] 42%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)[205] April 10–11, 2018 491 8% 23% 4% 29% 36%
Public Policy Polling[206] March 23–25, 2018 613 8% 19% 5% 22% 46%
Gravis Marketing[76] February 26 – March 19, 2018 11% 9% 2% 2% 13% 64%
Saint Leo University[78] February 18–24, 2018 190 10% 17% 5% 7% 8% 3% 50%
Gravis Marketing[79] February 1–18, 2018 9% 12% 1% 2% 12% 63%
Mason-Dixon[80] January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 20% 4% 17% 49%
Gravis Marketing[82] December 19–24, 2017 12% 18% 2% 3% 6% 60%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
Buckhorn
Kathy
Castor
Buddy
Dyer
Andrew
Gillum
Gwen
Graham
Jeff
Greene
Grant
Hill
Chris
King
Philip
Levine
John
Morgan
Patrick
Murphy
Jeremy
Ring
Katherine
Fernandez
Rundle
Jack
Seiler
Other Undecided
Frederick Polls[207] April 23–28, 2018 750 ± 3.6% 6% 14% 2% 20% 14% 44%
Saint Leo University[83] November 19–24, 2017 181 2% 6% 9% 2% 2% 3% 2% 13% 5% 2% 53%
Cherry Communications[208] September 17–24, 2017 263 6% 16% 2% 4% 23% 4% 44%
Saint Leo University[85] September 10–16, 2017 190 3% 5% 7% 1% 4% 4% 1% 12% 13% 5% 3% 44%
Florida Atlantic University[86] August 24–26, 2017 297 ± 6.5% 9% 14% 4% 8% 19% 47%
Gravis Marketing[209] April 4–10, 2017 13% 11% 1% 3% 14% 3% 55%
Gravis Marketing[87] March 28–29, 2017 23% 8% 0% 1% 9% 24% 36%
Saint Leo University[88] March 3–11, 2017 203 3% 5% 6% 4% 4% 5% 9% 20% 2% 2% 4% 40%
Cherry Communications[90] December 3–8, 2016 5% 8% 16% 5% 15% 4% 45%
Saint Leo University[91] November 27–30, 2016 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% 20% 1% 1% 7% 49%

Results

Results by county:
  Gillum
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Graham
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Levine
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Gillum 517,417 34.3%
Democratic Gwen Graham 472,735 31.3%
Democratic Philip Levine 306,450 20.3%
Democratic Jeff Greene 151,935 10.1%
Democratic Chris King 37,464 2.5%
Democratic John Wetherbee 14,355 1.0%
Democratic Alex "Lundy" Lundmark 8,628 0.6%
Total votes 1,508,984 100.0%

Independent and third party candidates

Reform Party

Declared

Libertarian Party

Withdrawn

Constitution party

Withdrawn

Independents

Declared

  • Ryan Christopher Foley, former emergency medical technician[215]
  • Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor[215]
  • Bruce Stanley, environmental activist[215]

Declined

Endorsements

Darcy Richardson (Reform Party)
Individuals
  • Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and public service commissioner[220]
  • Randy Wiseman, former Republican chair of the Lake County School Board[221]
John Morgan (declined)
Individuals

General election

Debates

Dates Location DeSantis Gillum Link
October 21, 2018 Tampa, Florida Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 24, 2018 Weston, Florida Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

First debate

The first debate, moderated by CNN's Jake Tapper, was hosted on October 21, 2018, at WEDU, Tampa, Florida.[223] It was an hour long debate featuring topics like climate change,[224][225] minimum wage,[226][227] health care,[228] gun control,[229] the NRA,[230] DeSantis's "monkey up" comment[231] and President Donald Trump being a role model for children.[232][233]

This debate was held a day before early voting started in Florida on October 22, 2018.[234]

Second debate

The second debate occurred on October 24, 2018, and was hosted in Weston, Florida. It was moderated by Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association.[235]

Endorsements

Andrew Gillum (D)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State and territorial officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Sheriffs
Ron DeSantis (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State senators
State representatives
Sheriffs
Mayors and other municipal leaders
State and territorial officials
Individuals
Organizations